Sidney's Story - How Covered Calls Turned a Trader Around
Sidney felt sick as she
looked at her latest OptionsXpress trading statement. In just 8
months, she had managed to turn her $120,000 account balance
into less than $70,000.
Tears welled up in her eyes
as she realized that the financial freedom she so
desperately sought was slipping uncontrollably out of her
grasp. For the first time since the accident, she felt
desperately fearful of the future.
How would she be able to keep
custody of her two young children, Paul and Sara, without an
income once the money was gone? She just knew her violent
ex-husband, Tom, would file for custody as soon as he
discovered that she had no way of providing for her children, and
then she would be on her own. Her situation seemed hopeless...
12 months earlier, she had
received a compensation payment for a work related accident
and at the time had no idea of what to do with the money.
Her injuries were so severe that the likelihood of her
working again in the near future was slim at best. She
needed financial advice, but who to turn to, she had no
idea.
A well meaning friend had
mentioned an options trading course he had attended and
suggested that trading might be a way for Sidney to earn
above average returns on her compensation payment money, as
interest and dividends would not be able to provide enough
income for the family to live on.
She thought about it for
several weeks, $5000 was a lot of money to put up to learn
something that seemed totally foreign to her. Her other
friends, when asked for their advice, warned her not to even
consider options trading - it was a casino and everyone who
ventured there lost their shirt.
The thought of extra returns
however was too much for her, so she signed up for an
upcoming course and hoped she could learn enough to succeed
where so many others had failed.
The weekend course came and
went in a blinding flash of trendlines, moving averages,
support and resistance and Bollinger bands. She didn't know
what had hit her.
At home the following day,
she sat and stared at the course materials and was more
confused than ever about options and spreads, puts and
calls.
She looked at her two young children as they slept
peacefully and decided that she simply HAD to get this right
- she could see the potential - the course presenter had
shown them trading statements showing profits of up to
$25000 on a single trade, and no losses, so it was possible.
For the next two weeks, she
read and re-read the course notes and listened to the CD's
of the event she had received in the post after shelling out
another $1400 at the seminar for them.
It finally started to make
some sense for her one Saturday afternoon when her seven
year old daughter looked at the chart she had on her computer
screen and said, "That line is going up, Mummy, what is it?"
She looked into her young child's
eyes and smiled, thinking "How simple was that?"
She had just written out a trading plan for a put option
trade based on her analysis of that very chart - she
thought the price would go down; how wrong
would she have been?
She stared at the chart for
several long minutes and then she saw it.
She had been told
that the safest place to buy put options was on the first
lower top - at the start of a downtrend. However, she also
had been told to place a 30 day simple moving average on the
chart and never to trade against the direction of that
indicator. The Stock had made a lower top, but the trend was still up.
These two conflicting filters
had confused her until now. She re-read her notes and found
that she must never trade against the direction of the 30 day moving average.
She felt like she had discovered the Holy Grail of trading.
She went back over her charts and looked at the 30 day
moving average on each one - in all cases, that had been the
trend direction and it just kept going - she had been trading against the trend! If she went with it she would be raking in the
profits in no time.
Armed with this new insight,
she decided that she would take the next trade that
presented itself with real money and she was sure she was on
her way.
The opportunity duly
presented itself. She bought 10 (no use starting small) MSFT
(Microsoft Corp) July Calls for $1.12, a total outlay of $11,200 plus
commission.
The Stock promptly fell for
three days straight. She panicked and sold the options at what turned out to be the low of the third day for $0.38 cents - a loss on her
first trade of $7500! She was shattered. The next day, the
Stock rallied and within two days it was at a new high for
the move.
What had happened? She had
sold at the very low of a reaction to the main trend. How
could she have been so stupid?
She watched as the option
premium quickly rose to $2.14 without her. This movement
consumed her completely and she didn't even bother looking
at her other watchlist Stocks - she was mesmerized by the
one that got away.
The Stock continued to climb,
as did the option premium - $2.85, $3.41, $3.82. Each day
she watched as it doubled, then tripled her original stake.
She cried - why?
It seemed the trend was going
to continue forever, so she decided to get over it and buy
some calls at the bottom of the next 3 day reaction -
yes, that was it.
The Stock was having
reactions of 2
and 3 days, so at the end of the next one, she would buy
calls and make her lost money back.
That week, the price of MSFT
started to come off a little, and had three big days down.
She bought 20 MSFT calls (well she had to get her money back,
didn't she?) at a much higher strike price than the last
ones and paid $1.31 for them, expecting the rally to come
the next day.
Overnight, the US market fell 4% after
terrorists attacked a Government building and threatened
more similar attacks in the weeks and months that followed.
Sidney woke up to see the
carnage in the US Stockmarket and just knew it was going to
be a bad day.
MSFT
opened down $1.30 along
with the general market. Her call options were bid at $0.40
cents.
She remembered the last time this happened - she had
sold in a panic. This time, she decided to hold on for a
better price. The Stock continued to fall. The rally never
came this time - the season had changed in the Stock Market.
Sidney held those options all
the way to expiry - to zero, because she didn't have the stomach to
take another loss like the last one. In two trades,
she had lost over a quarter of her compensation payment.
Things looked grim.
Her trading continued on for
the next few months in much the same way. Small profits,
large losses.
She frequented the trading forum of the group
that had held the seminar but couldn't find any answers
there either - most of the traders who posted comments were in the
same boat.
Her friends kept saying
"I told you so!" so she stopped hanging around
with them. She was consumed with getting this thing right
and nobody was going to stop her.
Then came that fateful day
when she opened her monthly Options Account statement and saw the
account balance had dipped below $70,000.
She wept
uncontrollably for hours that day. She had failed. Her kids
would be taken away by her ex husband and there was nothing but black for as
far as she could see into the future - her life looked bleak.
In the midst of this horrible
experience, her 12 year old daughter came home from School
and found her mother in tears. "What's wrong mom?"
her daughter asked. "Oh, this option trading will be
the death of me darling," Sidney sobbed.
"Why, what's
happened?" Sara asked. "Every time I buy an
option, it goes down in value," her mother answered.
"Who do you buy the options from, mum?" Sara asked
after some thought. "Other traders," Sidney
answered.
Then Sara said the most profound thing Sidney had
ever heard a child say, "Mom, it sounds like those
other traders are getting the best deal, and you are getting
ripped off. Why don't you do what they do?"
Sidney was about to explain
why she was an option buyer instead of a seller, but stopped
mid thought when she realized the power of what her daughter
had just said.
Of course, every option that she had ever
bought and then sold at a loss had made a profit for the seller, at her expense.
She was speechless...
She had to change her
strategy - immediately! She would become a writer of
covered calls and sell options to others.
The next day, she went to the library and
found three books on option writing and studied them cover
to cover. It was simple...she would become an option writer
and take the profits from the punters expecting
extraordinary profits that rarely came.
To do this, she would start
buying Stocks and writing covered calls over them. But which
ones. She studied the pages of Investors
Business Daily, looking
for the options with the highest volatility, because she
knew from her studies that she had to sell high volatility
options to get good premiums.
She also wanted a low Stock
price so she could buy more than a couple of thousand of them
to minimize the effects of Brokerage fees on her profits.
The US options market
appeared to be a goldmine for sellers because so many
Stocks tended to hold strong trends, while still offering good
premiums for their options - apparently many traders
expected the trend to change every day, therefore bidding
up the prices of options that were clearly not going to
make them a profit if the trend continued - Sidney would
use this to her advantage.
After careful study and
several weeks of research on the Internet, Sidney chose one
Stock to focus her initial attention and looked for a buy
point.
Please Note - the
following example is for illustration purposes only and does
not constitute a recommendation to buy the Stock mentioned
or any other Stock for that matter - please do your own
research before undertaking any investment strategy
mentioned - we cannot give you investment
advice.
She waited for the trend to
turn up, and bought 2000 Airtran
Holdings (AAI) at $4.30 in January 2003 as the
Stock had appeared to start a strong rally. The
charts below show the trades Sidney took in this Stock.
Source:
Incredible Charts - www.incrediblecharts.com.au
She
wrote (sold) 20 January $5.50 strike call options (one option contract covers 100 Shares) and
received $440 after Brokerage.
Three weeks later, the Stock
was trading at $6.00 (point 2). The options were exercised, as they were
in-the-money at expiry and Sidney was forced to sell her
Stock at the
strike price of $5.50, netting herself a capital profit of
$2400 plus the option premium of $440, a total of $2840 for
three weeks or around 33% on her invested capital for the
period!
She was hooked. "That was more like
it," she thought.
She immediately bought 3000 more AAI
and wrote 30 February call options with a strike price of
$7.00. She received a total premium of $670.
The Stock price
basically tracked sideways for that month, and the options
expired worthless (point 3). "AHA," the light was coming on
for her.
"That used to be
me," she thought to herself, as she called the Broker
and sold another batch of $7.00 strike price options, this
time for March expiry. Another $680 was deposited into
Sidney's trading account. "Every little bit
helps," she thought.
The Share price rallied
during March, but come expiration day, AAI
again failed to close above $7.00. The options expired
worthless and Sidney again kept the premium (point 4).
Sidney's total profit so far
was $4190. And it had only taken her a few minutes a month
to earn this income. "How long had this been going
on," she thought to herself.
The buyers of all those
options had to sweat out weeks of time decay only to receive
a small profit in one case or a loss at the end of the time.
"That used to be me!"
She decided to increase her
stake, and purchased an additional 3000 AAI
Shares at $6.85 at the beginning of April (for a total of
6000 shares). She then wrote
60, $8.00 strike price call options for a total premium of
$1240, and then just waited for expiry.
On the day of expiry, the
Stock price closed at $7.85 (point 5) - she again kept the all the
premium and the buyers of those options lost all of their
stake.
For May, Sidney sold 60 more
call options at a strike price of $9.00 as the Stock
continued to rally.
Her premium income
was $1195. The Stock price moved sideways for the month and
the options again expired worthless.
Source:
Incredible Charts - www.incrediblecharts.com.au
Sidney bought another 2000 AAI
in June and wrote 80 $9.00 call options. Her premium
income was $1585. She sold her call options a long way
above the market because it looked like the trend was
accelerating and she didn't want to leave too much profit
on the table by selling them too low.
During the month, the Stock
did indeed rally
strongly and closed on the day of expiry at $10.47 (point 6). Her call
options were exercised and she received a total of $72000
from the sale of her Stock.
For July, she immediately reinvested this
amount plus a little of her own funds and again bought 8000 AAI and wrote 80
call options with a strike price of $12.00.
She wrote a higher strike
price this time around because the trend appeared to be
accelerating and she didn't want to miss out on too much
capital growth if it continued to rally.
Her premium income was much
less this month, due to the options being further
out-of-the-money than previously.
She only received $650,
but with the trend accelerating, she was confident that she
would be exercised and stood to make a good capital gain if
she was right. The price didn't quite make it, closing at
$11.83 on the day of expiry (point 7)...
She continued to buy more AAI
Stock and write call options during August and September.
Her total profits and premium income from trading this one
Stock and strategy have made back nearly three quarters of her losses
from the previous 8 months. Plus, she now had a good
income to live on. Her children would be able to stay with
her and the future looked much brighter.
The Stock continued to
climb in price to above $20 and Sidney rode it all the
way, writing call options over her ever increasing
portfolio. When the trend eventually changed, she sold
this Stock and moved on.
Sidney can now confidently
continue to build on this initial success using other Stocks
that are rising in price. There is a large universe of
Stocks that are both optionable and often trend
strongly, which give traders huge opportunities to profit
from this strategy.
There are of course some
ground rules to follow, but the fact that 85% or more of
out-of-the-money options expire worthless puts the balance
of probability on the side of the writer rather than the
purchaser in most instances.
Some things to consider are -
-
When
considering writing covered calls, always
buy Stocks that are trending higher - if the 30 day moving
average is rising and the price bars are above it, the trend
is currently up - that doesn't mean it's going to continue
in that direction but you will be trading with the balance
of probability.
-
Always
have a stop loss order in the market in case the trend
reverses and you have to exit the Stock. You will have to
buy back your sold call options prior to selling the Stock
as the Shares are held as security by your Broker.
-
Start
off slowly and build your position over time. Continue to
look for covered call writing candidates and switch Stocks
if you find something better than the ones you are currently
trading.
I trust this example has
given you an insight into writing covered calls. It is
often a
lower risk strategy than straight buying Stocks or options. It can provide a great income stream for
people to live on or to build wealth for the future.
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