Short Term Trading the S&P 500
"We've discussed long term investing
and last week I outlined my Trading Plan for you - would you like
to see my short term trading strategy in action and the trades I
took as I traded the S&P 500
Index down into the low two weeks ago?" Peter asked Paul at their
next meeting.
Paul had spent the last week back
testing the Trading System Peter had shared with him on several
Stocks and the S&P 500 Index,
with great results, and he was ready to learn more. "I certainly
would," he replied.
"OK, lets get to it then," Peter
said as he opened his charting software to a chart of the
S&P 500 Index, then scrolled back
to the top of the most recent leg down. Paul looked on as he took
him through his recent trades.
Please Click on the chart below
to open a larger version in a new window.
"You can see on this chart," Peter
continued -
Source: Incredible
Charts - www.incrediblecharts.com.au
"That the 105 day and the 30 day
moving averages are both trending down, therefore that is the direction
successful people trade - until you know a lot more about time cycles
and support and resistance, you will only trade in the direction
of the trend," Peter told Paul.
"I have marked where I took my initial
position - and my additional entries are numbered here from 1 to
9, then the final panic sell-off into the low at 775 points. I just
kept compounding my position after each lower top was confirmed
and the result was a significant profit.
"Anyone could have done what I did
here, but few traders have the ability to be able to be right with
the trend and sit tight. They tend to jump in and out and never
make anywhere near as much money as they could have if they had
just been able to control the emotions of fear and greed.
"You can see that the Index made
many attempts to rally, but each time the buyers were overwhelmed
by a fresh bout of selling.
"The rallies within the downtrend
never exceeded two days - this was a very powerful trend, but there
were buyers all the way down, trying to pick the bottom. By the
time the low did come along, most of the buyers had spent all of
their emotional and monetary capital in a futile attempt at bottom
picking that was doomed to failure.
"Even when he Index got down to 775
points, I still only bought two futures contracts - I wasn't prepared
to bet too much on my analysis being right. And my long term portfolio
was still short this Index.
"Study this chart and you will gain
an understanding of how you can make big profits in a short time
trading the market. By doing what I did here, you will build wealth
quickly with a minimum of risk. That should be your goal.
"Then, when you make a substantial
profit, transfer the bulk of it to your long term account and invest
it wisely. Never leave a large amount of money in your trading account
- you will be tempted to use it and run the risk of giving it all
back to the market.
"Wealthy people protect the downside.
That is how they stay wealthy."
Paul studied the chart intently -
he knew exactly how to trade now. He had been paper trading for
several weeks and was making good paper profits. It was time to
test his new found knowledge in the market.
It was time to take some live trades
himself to see how his emotions would react - could he control his
fear and greed...
If you would like to read a
far more in-depth analysis of the trades mentioned in this story,
Please Click Here
To
go to the next chapter, please Click Here.